Found it — and it's a textbook cold-then-warm herbicide injury.
Bird Point's early post pass (Corn Post 2025) went on May 5, a heavy mix of Capreno + Status + atrazine + Warrant. Look at the weather that week:
| Date | Low | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4 | 48°F | 55°F | cooling |
| May 5 | 37°F | 62°F | ← sprayed, hard cold snap |
| May 6 | 37°F | 62°F | still cold |
| May 7 | 56°F | 72°F | warming |
| May 15 | 69°F | 87°F | hot |
The field got sprayed right on a near-frost cold snap (lows of 37°F), then temperatures shot up 30°+ into the 80s within ten days. That's exactly the swing that makes corn over-metabolize the herbicide and injure itself — Capreno (a bleacher) and Status (a dicamba growth regulator) are both known to burn corn under a cold-then-rapid-warm pattern.
The clincher is the natural experiment across your fields. Seven corn fields got the same two-pass post program last year. What separated them was the date of that first pass:
Sprayed into the May 5–6 cold snap → all low:
Bird Point (Yarbrough) — May 5 → 179.6
Norwood — May 5 → 181.8
Ingalls — May 6 → 181.5
Waited to May 10 (cold snap passed, steady warm-up) → all fine:
Denton — 209.1 · Gaines — 210.9 · Jessup — 212.6 · Ransom — 210.2
Same recipe, same program, ~30 bu/ac gap — split cleanly by whether the post landed on the cold snap. Bird Point isn't uniquely damaged; it's the biggest field in the group that got sprayed too early, so the injury cost you the most bushels there.
A couple of things worth noting: Bird Point's May 5 pass covered 457 of its 720 acres, with the rest picked up May 22 in good weather — so if you walked it, the injury was probably patchy, worse on the acres hit May 5. And nothing else in the record points elsewhere: planting (Apr 17) was normal, the planter data looks clean, and it was actually your earliest-harvested corn, so weathering at harvest isn't it.
The takeaway for this year: hold the post pass when a cold snap is in the forecast, especially with a Capreno/Status mix. Want me to check Norwood and Ingalls in the same detail to confirm they saw the identical cold snap, or pull the applied-vs-target rates on that May 5 pass to rule out an over-application on top of the weather?